Yes, a slightly new look for the new decade. I hope the emoji doesn’t cause this to go into your spam folder!
A new year always presents with great expectations and high hopes, and a new decade even more so. Of course, few of us were around for the Roaring 20’s of the 20 th Century, but now we have the opportunity to make our own Roaring 20’s. In spite of itself at times, the economy remains strong and the stock market has embellished many a 401K or private portfolio. Whereas there were some indicators in the 4 th quarter of last year that Real Estate sales were wavering, early predictions for 2020 would have one believing otherwise.
Here is an article from one of the many feeds I get in my inbox almost daily that I found interesting. A quick overview may pique your curiosity—opinions pro and con:
Home-Building —Although homebuilders remain optimistic, housing starts may not keep up with demand due to shrinking inventories of existing homes. Predictions range from 4%-10.6% comparing year-over-year home starts from 2019.
Home Prices —After a brief lull, home prices are expected to increase in 2020, with predictions ranging from a high of 3.6% to a low of .8%. Zillow came in at 2.8% to 2.5%.
Home Sales —Despite continued low mortgage rates with the possibility of them dropping even lower during 2020, buyers will continue to grapple with limited options (like you really have to qualify for a loan now!). Home sales inched up by 2.7% last year with more of the same expected for this year.
Markets to Watch —“Top ten markets to watch” see Charleston, SC and Charlotte, NC topping the list of hot markets with Raleigh-Durham, NC and Tampa-St. Petersburg, FL coming in at 9 and 10.
For that and more, including Mortgage Rates, Odds of a Recession, “Takeaways”, and comments from some of the top Real Estate Economists from around the nation click here .
And as a side note, please keep in mind that these are national statistics and Hawaii/Maui don’t necessarily “run with the crowd”, so to speak. Further into the body of this Newsletter you will find statistics specific to Maui, and I will be keeping you updated on trends in Maui throughout the year.
Here are some of my top picks going into the new year with something for every budget:
MLS #385553 $464,900 1BR/1BA OV (Pending)
MLS #384565 $550,000 1BR/1BA OV
MLS #385144 $589,000 1BR/2BA OV
MLS #384168 $699,000 2BR/2BA OV
MLS #385304 $879,900 1BR/1BA OV
MLS #385021 $899,000 2BR/1BA OV
OV = Ocean View
MLS #385524 $1,174,000 1BR/1BA OV
MLS #383908 $1,475,000 3BR/2BA OV
MLS #384330 $1,595,000 2BR/2BA OV
MLS #385414 $2,488,800 2BR/2BA OV
MLS #384423 $2,900,000 3BR/3.5BA OV
MLS #380427 $3,825,000 3BR/3.5BA OV
MLS #385188 $1,378,000 4BR/4BA OV
MLS #385403 $1,898,000 4BR/3,5BA
MLS #385214 $3,650,000 3BR/3.5BA
MLS #383405 $12,900,000 3BR/3.5BA
MLS #385437 $27,498,000 4BR/5.5BA OV
As you know, I always like to close with a little Maui lifestyle. On March 29 th , the iconic duo of Daryl Hall and John Oates ( Hall and Oates ) will be performing at the Yokouchi Pavilion--our 5,000 seat outdoor stadium—in what will be a bit of a reunion show for them. In addition to numerous #1 hit records, the Record Industry Association of America recognized Daryl Hall and John Oates as the #1 selling duo in music history, a record they still hold today. There’s nothing like a concert under the stars on a balmy evening in Maui!
In parting, I would like to mention that many of you have probably heard about the spate of fires we suffered here on the island this past year. Like many places worldwide, warmer temperatures and drier weather contributed to these incidents. But due to a number of factors, damage was minimal—confined primarily to open areas with dry brush and a fire department that responded quickly.
Again, I hope 2020 is a fabulous year in every way for you and yours. Let’s all do our share to make it happen! And as always, thank you for following my Monthly Newsletter!
Mahalo Nui Loa!
While there are many reasons why Maui Real Estate is of interest to an International audience, the predominant attraction continues to be Condos or Homes that can be used as Vacation Rental properties. Reasons range from the obvious—that being the income they can potentially create—to merely wanting to own a “piece of the rock” for family and lifestyle activities. Based on questions I often get, here are some myths about Maui Vacation Rental properties that are worth dispelling.
that can be used as Vacation Rental properties. Reasons range from the obvious—that being the income they can potentially create—to merely wanting to own a “piece of the rock” for family and lifestyle activities. Based on questions I often get, here are some myths about Maui Vacation Rental properties that are worth dispelling.
1. Many properties on Maui are “Leasehold”
Leasehold is a way to hold interest in property that is unique to Hawaii and a handful of other states. Back in the early plantation days—some say going back as far as 400 A.D.--all land was owned by Kings, also known as Ali’I and operated as a “feudal system”. Kanaka, or commoners, worked the land and the bounty was distributed amongst the Ali’I and workers. Centuries later, real estate was still owned by a few elite families then “leased” out to others to be developed or farmed.
Most real estate on the US mainland is owned as “freehold” or “fee simple”, meaning that the land and the improvements on it are wholly owned—not leased. While this is now true of the vast majority of property in Hawaii/Maui (less than 12% is still held as leasehold), there are still some condominiums and a very few homes that are leasehold. And, yes; with these properties you own the improvements on the land, but you are leasing, or renting, the land for a period of years. While the lease rate is fixed for many years forward, most have a provision that the lease may be adjusted based on the accelerated value of the land. At the end of the lease, the owner can even elect to remove the improvements to the land, although this is hardly ever done.
So that’s the bad news. The good news is that leasehold properties often sell for less than half of what a neighboring fee simple property might sell for. Many have 30, 40, 50 or more years left on their lease. Lower cost to purchase means higher returns on rental income. Be advised, though, that Maui County bases property tax rates on neighboring fee simple properties and not the lower leasehold value. A good fit for some, but not all.
2. Financing Costs More on Maui
Since most mortgage loans today are sold to Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae—government sponsored entities that act as links between banks and lenders, the Federal government, and private investors--rates are set on a national rather than a state level. The mortgages are then held as investments or packaged as mortgage-backed securities that are then sold to private investors on the secondary mortgage market. Thus the rate would be the same whether buying property in Maui or anywhere on the US mainland.
Having said that, I often get clients who want to use their banks or lenders in their hometowns rather than one based in Hawaii. While this can sometimes work out ok, especially with a client who has a close relationship and many holdings with their personal bank—out-of-area lenders often struggle with a sub-category unique to Hawaii/Maui known as “condo-tels”. While the criteria that establishes a condo-tel vs. just a condo seems to be a moving target from year to year, it’s typically defined as a condominium complex that functions as a hotel. In other words, there is a front desk that checks guests in, distributes keys, provides housekeeping and rental management services, etc. Lenders unfamiliar with this category of property are often leary and will not lend on such properties. That’s when using a local lender becomes your best option.
Exceptions to all this? Our friends in Canada may find it easier to get financing through their local sources.
3. Managing your Vacation Rental can require a good deal of time and effort.
Yes, it can, but it doesn’t have to. That’s why I always query my clients on their goals, objectives, and expectations when purchasing a Vacation Rental property.
Those who are looking to maximize their income from their Vacation Rental property, will, in fact, have to be very involved in the rental process. It will be like having a part-time job that you can work from your home by using one of the many Vacation-Rental-By-Owner websites out there to give your property exposure. You will need to have professional photos, set up a calendar with nightly rates based on seasonal highs and lows, and write good copy to make people want to rent your place over another. You will have to have housekeeping service, handy people and in some instances licensed contractors available, and at the very least an on-island contact who can be available to your guests as questions and/or repairs arise.
But options abound. If max-income is not your priority, then there are several choices of third party management companies out there who will handle the details for anywhere from 20%-35% of your monthly revenue. In addition, many of the larger condo complexes have their own built-in management program that offers a total turnkey service and you don’t have to be involved at all. Simply check your mailbox every month and see if there was any money left over after they have taken their cut (often 50%) and paid all your taxes, association fees, utilities, operating costs, etc.
This is when your main motivation for owning a Vacation Rental property may have to be based on wanting to be part of the community; having access to it yourself and for your friends and family; or simply being able to afford the lifestyle that you want and deserve!
FYI, I manage a select handful of Vacation Rental properties for clients who purchased their properties through me.
O.K.! Let’s take a look at some new Featured Properties that have come on line in the last 30 days!
Condos Under $1 Million
MLS #384513 Kihei Sands, $499,000
MLS #384565 Hono Kai, $550,000
MLS #384845 Maui Kamaole, $629,999
MLS #384821 Ke Alii Ocean Villas, $799,900
MLS #384501 Kihei Sands, $925,000
MLS #384789 Wailea Ekolu, $938,888
Condos Over $1 Million
MLS #384817 Wailea Ekolu, $1,225,000
MLS #384830 Mana Kai, $1,595,000
MLS #384459 Kai Malu, $1,599,900
MLS #384797 Wailea Point, $2,300,000
MLS #384659 Wailea beach Villas, $2,775,000
MLS #384449 Wailea Point, $6,250,000
Single-family Homes Under $1 Million
Single-Family Homes Over $1 Million
Click Here for complete October Maui Real Estate statistics
The baseball World Series is unique to sports in many ways, but I think more than any other sporting event it is watched and revered by hardcore fans and the occasional viewer as well. Last week, the Washington Nationals brought the title to Washington D.C.--the first time in 95 years-- when the Nation’s Capitol most needed a little breath of fresh air!
As we have seen with our nation in the past, sports can often provide at least a distraction if not a calming and healing effect during difficult times. We saw this with the Boston Red Sox after the horror of the Boston Marathon bombers paralyzed the country for days. And prior to that post 9-11 when President Bush threw out the first ball to start the World Series in Yankee Stadium.
Yes times are tough. Our country is more divided than it has ever been before. But when you think about the things we all share in common as Americans—when you see first responders risk their lives to save others, health care professionals giving loving care to all who are in need, our neighbors bringing us food and hugs if we’ve been through a disaster or bad times, we know that America is still, always has been, and always will be great.
Mahalo nui loa for following my Newsletter.
Maui Realty Associates
(808) 283-9093 direct
(808) 879-5510 fax
Sure it’s only October, but I’m about ready to pull a Rip Van Winkle and go into a slumber—not for 20 years, but until 2020 and call 2019 a “done deal”; wake me when it’s over! Enough already! There’s the daily news constantly filling the air waves with the way the Constitution of the United States and our very political system are getting tested to the max. Constant warnings of imminent climate change seeming to come from all parts of the planet. Storms that have become bigger and more devastating than ever. The economy and how the housing markets will faire moving into 2020 (an election year). Oh, that…let’s stop there and focus on what this Newsletter is, and always has been, about-Real Estate!
For some time now I’ve tried to expand the scope of this Newsletter by including interesting and relevant links for you to read. My reporting data tells me that less than 20% of those who read the letter actually click on the links. Understandable, I guess. But here’s one you may not want to miss.
“The Ten Trends That Will Shape Real Estate in 2020*”, described as “…find(ing) some direction within a fog of uncertainty” is a must-read. To pique your interest, here are a few of the ten trends anticipated:
· Who’s Afraid of a Recession
· Capital with No Place to Go
· The Rise of Hipsturbia (can you guess?)
· The “Silver Tsunami” of Senior Housing
· The Potential, and Pull, of Principled Investment
Personally, I’m pleased to see trends moving towards sustainability, energy efficiency, clean transportation, and environmentally friendly technologies. “Look up at the mountain, I have to climb, oh yeah, to reach there” **
Moving right along, here are some great Featured Maui Properties for your viewing pleasure separated into categories to satisfy every preference and budget!
MLS #384141, MLS #384447, MLS #384429, MLS #382512, MLS #383080, MLS #382990 Click Here to View Listings
MLS #382731, MLS #383928, MLS #383204, MLS #383648, MLS #383867, MLS #384449 Click Here to View Listings
MLS #384244, MLS #381908, MLS #384293, MLS #383716 Click Here to View Listings
MLS #384066, MLS #383119, MLS #383963, MLS #381831 Click Here to View Listings
Click here for complete September statistics.
Maui icon Kris Kristofferson and his band The Strangers will be performing a benefit concert at the Maui Arts and Cultural Center’s Castle Theater on October 19th. Kris is not only a great musician but he can still spin a good story or two when he gets a microphone in his hand. Kris, and his good friend Willie Nelson, are both full-time residents on Maui and are very gracious with their time when it comes to supporting worthwhile causes. I know most of you will not be here to catch this show but here’s an insider tip: Check out Charley’s Restaurant and Saloon in Paia for a late breakfast some morning and you just may run into Kris or Willie talking story with friends at a nearby table.
As always, thanks for taking time to read my Monthly Newsletter. I hope in some small way it helps keep that dream of owning Maui Real Estate (someday) alive.
Mahalo nui loa and a hui hou!
* Urban Land Institution’s Annual Report by Patrick Sisson
** Cat Stevens, Miles from Nowhere/Tea for the Tillerman
Yes, a slightly new look for the new decade. I hope the emoji doesn’t cause this to go into your spam folder!
A new year always presents with great expectations and high hopes, and a new decade even more so. Of course, few of us were around for the Roaring… Continue Reading